Horns247 Board

dorothy, we ain't in orangebloods anymore.

Texas 28, Tech 17

Texas 27 Tech 16

Huh???

You might want to check the stats again.

In the past 4 years against the top D's on our schedule, GD's offense has OUTPERFORMED that metric 85% of the time (or there about). I'll have to re-created the data, had it saved but lost it when my hard drive crashed.

By "top" D, I am measuring just Top 30 (top 25% of CFB) in either scoring or total yards D.

GD was 2 and a half for 3 last year vs Bama (significant) OU & Neb (close but still above not below on both yards and scoring, Neb came up short yards wise).

1 of 1 in '08 ( tOSU )

'07 he was 2 and a half of 3. Outscored OU's O but fell short on yards, outscored and outyarded TCU and Arizona St.

'06 2 halves of 2. Yards but not points on tOSU, yards and points on OU but not yards.

Holds up even if you include the pre-Vince years and the "logic" of ignoring the Vince years is just too weird to consider. An OC is penalitzed for coaching and developing good players?

BTW, most offenses tend to perform worse against top flight D's.

41-23

Texas

I agree with the comment about being positive of the direction of the program yet predict a loss. I just have a hard time believing they both won't score in the 20s somehow.

I also agree that their O is further along than Texas' and that their D - particularly their pass rush and their secondary - is better than some give them credit for.

I still think Texas is a good match-up here IF they can establish anything in the running game.

35-28 good guys. Need a ST or defensive TD (or both) to do it, though. Hooke Em!

Again HUH?

Not to belabor this too much but your original claim was that TeXAS' Offense has "significantly" underperformed vs good to great D's consistently.

Neither 2008 OU or Aggie '09 "underscores" your point, in fact they don't have anything to do with it. As you point out, neither was a good to great D.

While we only gained 2/3rds of the yardage Neb normally allowed (underperformance), we were 3 yards off OU's average (statisitcally the equivelent of a tie) so those two are hardly similar . We also had the best rushing day against OU of any team during the regular season vs OU and we did outscore their season average.

Of the two, points scored (or not scored) is a far more important stat.

So basically in the past 4 years, there is in fact only 1 game you can point to where a TEXAS O "significantly" underperformed the D in either catagory. OTOH, with NO exceptions, TEXAS O outperformed their opponents either scoring or yardage average, most often both when both catagories are considered.

Sorry, again not to belabor this but while it's fun to discuss 10 foot alligators in NYC sewers, saquash or Elvis being alive and other urban legends, it's not reality.

And I'm not sure TT's D is as bad as you think. With Tubby there, wouldn't be suprised if they aren't one of the Top 5-6 (edited based on Bobby's comments) we see durng the regular season.

There's a lot of late rumblings from "insiders" thet Texas is going to open up a can of whoop ass, particularly on defense.

As much heat as GD takes for being vanilla, we haven't seen much more than straight up D from the other side, no stunting and few blitzes.

Expect the 2 CB blitzes where Williams and someone else missed great chances to make highlight plays. Wager they don't miss again.

sticking with the idea we handle them fairly well unless we lose the turnover battle by 2 or more. In that case, I'll settle for a 1 point win.