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sendrain said...
Bobby, Excellent summary of a very complex set of issues. Nobody knows what is really going on behind closed doors or in Dodds head. I, for one, trust him to get Texas in the best position for future realignment. I think you did an excellent job of laying out what appear to be realistic what-ifs. Anyone that thinks they know more about what is really going on - or the reasons things have happened previously - is blowing smoke. And the harder they blow, the more ridiculous they make themselves look.
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BobbyBurton said...
CTJ, I enjoy your posts. Always.
But all of these issues are not necessarily entwined.
Texas' position 2 years ago is different than what it was 1 year ago and what it is today. The only position that hasn't changed is that Texas will do what makes the most financial sense so long as its student-athletes are not disadvantaged by over-traveling.
Getting back to 10 teams got them to where they needed to be for Fox/ABC/ESPN. Beyond that, there's not a large enough financial incentive for Texas to move beyond 10 right now, not when the idea of a Texas-Notre Dame annual contest could be the blockbuster of college football.
Texas is willing to extend beyond 10 teams, and Texas thinks highly of Florida State and Clemson, but only if if makes Texas more money.
The conference championship game alone would help increase conference payouts.
As far as posturing, there is definitely a lot of that going on at multiple levels and at multiple places, whether it's at the conference level, school level or even at other conferences. I don't pretend to know all the machinations everywhere but I do speak with people who understand the scenarios and where they are currently placing their cards.
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TulsaHorn said...
So, just to be clear on this - you have the exact correct pulse on the situation.
Based on reading the internet? Your "inside source"
Or just your bullshit postering?
“Kansas may wind up number one in these polls, but that would be so unfair to Texas...” -- Len Elmore, 2/13/11
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JeezGuy ●
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sendrain said...
Bobby, Excellent summary of a very complex set of issues. Nobody knows what is really going on behind closed doors or in Dodds head. I, for one, trust him to get Texas in the best position for future realignment. I think you did an excellent job of laying out what appear to be realistic what-ifs. Anyone that thinks they know more about what is really going on - or the reasons things have happened previously - is blowing smoke. And the harder they blow, the more ridiculous they make themselves look.
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close to jumping said...
Let's not forget that this is the same PR machine that claimed that the price of jet fuel going up was part of the reason for canceling the Hawaii game in 2000-ish. Whatever decisions that are made, the athletes' travel regimen will not be a part of the reason why things worked out the way they did. It's utterly ridiculous. They've already signed WVU, they already have to go to ISU. A 2 hour flight east is not any different.
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Bill Stickers
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Bill Stickers said...
Good discussion guys. I really think the key to expansion here is Notre Dame. Deloss has been courting them for almost two years and it seems like if there is a window to negotiate, it's going to come down to what it will take to align the Big XII with Notre Dame in some capacity. If I am one of the schools looking to expand, I would sell Deloss and others on doing what it takes to have ND in the fold.
Let's assume, for arguments sake, the playoff scenario is either the four highest ranked teams or some sort of hybrid model that involves conference champions and a wildcard. Therefore, Notre Dame will not be forced to join a conference and can still remain independent in football.
I think it would be totally asisine for Notre Dame to move it's non-football sports into the Big XII as it is today and remain independent in football with some sort of three, four, or six team scheduling agreement. I can't see ND wanting to go through the headache of moving out of the Big East and ending relationships and decent rivalries to (as well as travel schedules which are significant for the non rev sports) for what we have in the Big XII today. Bball games with KU and WVU might be appealing and baseball might provide a few intriguing matchups with BU and UT but that's about it. Even more absurd is thinking ND will commit to any scheduling alliances in football with the way the conference is shaped. WVU? Eh, maybe. OU and UT would certainly be intriguing but both schools are alreaday on ND's non conference schedule anyway. And if you did a mix of WVA, UT,and Baylor? Bleh. That scenario does not provide a win/win situation for everyone invovled IMO. It's time to court ND with a bigger prize.
Let's assume you move to 12 teams. Either adding FSU and Clemson or FSU and Gtech. Now, that might peak ND's interest a little more. The non-football sports are a little more palpable and I think they would be inclined to commit to maybe a four game scheduling alliance in football. Two teams in each division. That would certainly benefit the conference, ND, and the tv partners. For example, you could have an agreement for ND to play the following from the Big 12: UT, BU (or TCU) in a home and away series and then a WVU/Gtech in a home and away series. Then, you set up a home/away series with OU/Tech and then KU and FSU on some years. That creates balance and actually makes a lot of sense for all parties invovled (TV networks, ND, and schools in the Big XII). Now you have something cooking.
Moving on, my dream scenario would involve going big and going bold. Move to 14 teams in the conference and have ND commit to a six game schedule. Three teams from each division every year. If you added the right teams, it would be a home run for everyone in the league. Let's assume you add FSU, Gtech, Clemson and Maryland. Have ND commit to a six team schedule that would look like this one year for Notre Dame:
UT TCU (or BU) Okie state (or Tech) Gtech Clemson WVU
And this another year: OU BU Tech Maryland FSU KU (Or maybe you keep Gtech as a protected game)
Now that's real. Those are some great matchups for ND, the other individual schools, the TV networks and the conference as a whole. It allows for enough balance as well as natural rivals and decent travel schedules in geographic terms.
I would also allow Notre Dame to showcase their games vs teams like Tech, Baylor and TCU in Jerry World, Reliant or the Alamo Dome to provide a larger venue in areas of Texas with more talent allowing ND to have more of a presence in Texas and the deep from a recruiting standpoint. You could even put a ND vs KU game in arrowhead. This will help build their brand across the most talent rich states year in and year out and put ND in a position to compete for a top 4 spot in the playoffs. Finally, they would still be able to keep their rivalries with Navy, USC, and the Michigan schools if they were so inclinced. There is NO way this wouldn't be BIG BIG BIG $$$ and a tremendous success. This would allow our conference to build its brand instantly in the most compelling way.
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James Westfall ●
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TXA2009 said...
I think it's an absurd notion honestly and is just the message from our athletic department to slow things down. Florida State draws some of the best TV ratings in the country. I saw a table showing they draw the second best ratings in bowl games. They've also been involved in something like five of the top ten rated ESPN games. I know other conferences play on CBS and ABC but still. Florida State absolutely "moves the needle."
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TXA2009 said...
I think it's an absurd notion honestly and is just the message from our athletic department to slow things down. Florida State draws some of the best TV ratings in the country. I saw a table showing they draw the second best ratings in bowl games. They've also been involved in something like five of the top ten rated ESPN games. I know other conferences play on CBS and ABC but still. Florida State absolutely "moves the needle."
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VaHorn said...
This. FSU/Notre Dame is the dream combination. FSU/Clemson makes a lot of sense as well, but only if we have either gotten a firm no from Notre Dame or the league is willing to go to fourteen teams.
"I've heard some of our fans say, 'We were always an SEC school. We just didn't know it," athletic director Bill Byrne said.
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Realignment discussion