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Mitch Connor said...
Like what you said, I just don't see how you can predict what round Brandon Moore will go in though when nobody has seen him play. He could go higher if he is the run stopper we have been hearing about.
This post has been edited 3 times, most recently by jjloehr on 3/18/2012 at 1:22 PM
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DaytrippingHorn
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jjloehr said...
Bruthaman,
I saw your post somewhat late (link below), and thought it deserved a more thorough treatment, as you seemed to have put some thought into your statements. I post here in a new thread in hopes of catching your attention. For those who didn't see it, there was a discussion related to CBS' forecasted ranking of UT as the #6 team in Big 12 for 2012, and Bruthaman raised the question as to why there should be any "optimism" regarding UT's improvement over '11. Here are a few thoughts for you to consider:
* At DT, Dorsey was a good last year as Randall was his junior year. At times, he was just dominant. D. Jackson, a true freshmen last year, caught everyone's eye, and has already taken another step up in spring ball winning the starting role due to his incredible first step and high motor. Whaley is perhaps the best big athelete in the Big 12, and he'll be coming at you from anywhere on the DL, and finally, our JUCO Brandon Moore, 6'5" 335, is going to be a total run stopper up the middle, our first like this since Roy Miller. Only his conditioning will slow him. (see comments on conditioning below). Oh yeah, I almost forgot, we've got a guy from Brenham named Malcom Brown, #4 in Texas overall and #1 DT in Texas, #5 DT in nation. He'll be our true freshmen OU will see on a few plays as well. So there is a 5 man rotation of pure studs at DT. All 5 of those guys will be 3rd/4th round NFL picks, with 2 of them possible 1/2 rounders.
* DE: we have the best tandem in the Big 12, probably in the nation with Okafor and Jeffcoat. Okafor will go 1 or 2 to NFL in April '13, and Jeffcoat could go 3rd then as well, or wait to play his Sr. year.
* MLB, I'd like to introduce you to one Mr. Steve Edmond. Steve is quiet fellow they say, but has uncanny anticipation/intuition. He is the second fastest big man we have, after Whaley. Did I mention he is big too? 6'3" 260. This guy is an NFL 1st rounder after his Jr. year.
* OLB: you may recognize Jordan Hicks. #1 LB in the country in class of 2010. He had some injuries last year, but is at full speed again and looking forward to Dallas. And another guy you may recognize, DeMarro Cobbs. He was the #1 LB in Oklahoma, and #3 overall recruit in OK in 2010. He's been waiting for Acho to leave to get on the field.
* Saftey: we've got a guy named Vacarro who could have gone 3rd round NFL this year. He'll be first round after '12. Adrian Phillips will be a large upgrade athletically over our prior Sr. safety Gideon.
* CB: we have the 2 best CB's in the Big 12. Period.
All this is to say you will face a defense at a level better than what you saw last year.
You say "we put 55 on you last year, so it ain't saying much". Yes, it's true. But let's look a little closer:
* 31 points of the 55 were scored directly off of 4 of our 5 turnovers and a punt return, not against our defense. That leaves 24 points to be answered for. (please note your Off scored less than Def/ST's).
* Broyles was unstoppable: 9 catches, 122 yds, 1 TD, before injury. He is there no more. Our true freshmen Diggs at CB received an education that day. He is now one of the best CB's in the Big 12.
So, if not for our offensive and special teams ineptitude last October, you get 24 against us. Moreover, due to all the momentum losses and eventual fatigue of our defense, as you rightly point out, we'd have likely held OU to 3 TD's or less in that game, with the 2011 defense, had our offense been simply "decent". The '12 defense is better.
The real issue for UT, as you point out, is our Offense. QB, WR, and OL all had questions. Although our TE was productive against OU, the overall season was not good either. Only RB seemed to be good, and even it was wiped out with injuries sidelining our top 3 RB's by the last few games. So let's look at your legit questions, as we all have them too:
1) QB - by sheer passage of time with game repetitions, Ash will improve. No reason to think he'll improve any less than your recruit from Artesia, NM, Jones, did between his fresh and sophomore years. Additionally, Ash was actually our 3rd team QB going into opening season, receiving no starter reps in practice until he was promoted to starter after the 3rd game of the season. So he has just received his first spring practices as a starter, with all the 1st team reps. This will make a second significant impact on his improvement. It would be unreasonable to expect anything other than a significant upgrade at QB, and all insider reports concur so far.
2) WR - Our #1 receiver injured his knee midway through the season. Our other #1 receiver, Davis, simply had a "sophomore slump" as many do. Both of these receivers are capable of NFL round 2 or 3 based on their current trajectory. If injury is avoided, you will soon see this. After those top 2, we have a guy named Marquise Goodwin. You may remember him from OU's last game vs. Colt McCoy. He's pretty good too. After these 3, we've got guys who've yet to prove anything (Harris, Hales), along with the #1 WR in Texas, #5 WR in the nation coming in as a true freshmen to help out. All in all a pretty stout group, which if injuries are avoided, could be quite effective.
3) OL - Our OL was weak in 2 out of 5 positions last year. Our SEC coach Searles has been quite busy working on this issue, and for the first time since 2009, we have 5 likely NFL draftees in the lineup. Our only issue here will be depth and injuries. Fortunately, we'll get OU before injuries likely start to add up.
4) Other - Our TE is still inconsistent in that our good receiving TE's can't block well, and our good blocking TE's can't catch well. This is our second vulnerability after OL depth. Also, at RB, although Fozzy is gone, we'll be introducing Mr. Gray, the #1 RB and #5 overall in the Nation, as our 3rd back. Hopefully, he'll hold his own.
5) Injuries - you may think I've leaned too heavily on injuries to explain 2011, so a comment is deserved. First off, they are unpredictable and can be devastating to any team. See your comment re OU's offense after losing Broyles. They are the "good luck" and "bad luck" of sports. You can expect to lose a starter at a position about 25% of the time. To lose a starter and a backup is about 5%. To lose a starter, the 1st backup, and the 2nd backup, happens about 1% of the time. That's some bad luck, and that's what happened to our offense at RB. We were heading for a very possible 10-2 finish before that.
Secondly, the one thing you can do to minimize injuries is to improve the strength and conditioning of your athletes. To that end, we probably have one of the absolute best in a guy named Bennie Wylie. He has just completed his first year around and begun his second year of off-season responsibilities. This guy has already created a significant improvement for us, and will continue to do so. Gone are the years of us being the 2nd best conditioned team on the field. Anyone doubting this need only inquire as to the details of his "County Fair" days.
So, overall, there is no doubt our offense is significantly better. It is not without vulnerabilities for sure, but it is better. I'd suggest you will not be able to count on 24 points coming directly from offensive miscues. Moreover, you will meet, with an Okafor/Edmond/Vacarro-led defense, a defense that will not so easily be worn out and moved down the field. In fact, this particular defense has the talent to inflict some real hurt on anyone who wants to test the middle, run or pass. We've only got 2 Sr's on D, so get used to it.
With UT's improvement being clarified, the next question would be: has OU gotten better or worse on O and on D?
[sorry for the length, but it's a good question, and frankly enjoyable to ponder]
There is nothing more dangerous in this world than a man with nothing to lose.
bruthaman ●
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bruthaman said...
Overall series you got it. More BCS wins? I guess. We have three. You guys have A rose, an MNC, a Fiesta, I forget the others.
Stoops says that he isnt changing much at all on defense. Probably simplify the back end, but thats it. That being said, Im not saying our defense will be better based on him alone. I love what we have up front this year. In fact, I am pretty confident in pretty much everything we have minus one safety position. We have hitters, speed and good leverage up front and Stoops didnt have that at Arizona. Again, Mack hasnt been able to line up and run Stoops over since he has been here and I dont expect to see that this year with what we have up front and the way our staff prepares our team.
NLF players? We have Jeffereson, Colvin, Nelson, Macfarland at the NFL level in my opinion on defense, throw Walker in there too. On offense, we have Jones, Stills, Williams (OT), Shead (OG), Nasakita (OG), Irwin (OG) and Latu (OT) when he arrives. Up front on both sides of the ball, we will be tough. We have talent there and we are deep.
Most posters here have a pie in the sky view of things. Im more wait and see. We have lots of parts that have not arrived yet, especially power at the RB position and depth at WR. Lots of youth coming in at WR and we will see what they are made of really early in the fall. RB is in good shape, but we need a power back. Millard will handle that in the spring, but we need more than one big back. Then we are also expanding Bells package too so that will help. We usually find a way to make a good fight of the season and I expect this year to be no different.
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81horn said...
+1 to the OP and +1 to you, Bevo...I had not noticed the Malcom X in the avatar...Malcom X was not a good dude...in my opinion, he was the opposite of MLK, who I think was one of our greatest Americans (I know that belongs in the OT but it does say something about our boy bruthaman and the fact he should never have credibility on this board, ever, blowu troll or no, imo...). Thanks for pointing that out.
This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by texassborn on 3/19/2012 at 9:35 PM
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stilltrying said...
Good posts and information from both bruthaman and jj. No doubt in my mind but that OU will be well prepared when we play, stoops can coach, IMO. I wouldn't venture a guess as to the outcome of the game at this point, need to see how we do in earlier games and agree with bruthaman that our OOC schedule won't tell us anything. jj, I hope you are right and agree we have talent on defense and should be very good because the coaching is there too. With the exception of RB, in my mind there are questions at all positions on offense and it would be hard to predict how good we might be and really hard to predict how we will do against a stoops/stoops prepared OU team. This is Harsin's 2nd year so that's a plus. Our OL line can't help but be better and I hope we are improved at the other offensive positions. offensively, we should be better but that's not not saying much. If OU is as good as bruthaman indicates we need to be much improved to win.
This post has been edited 4 times, most recently by jjloehr on 3/19/2012 at 11:17 PM
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jjloehr said...
In '11 vs. OU, we fumbled 5 times, losing 3, of which 2 led directly to TD runbacks. I think the other led to a field goal.
We were intercepted 2 times, one again leading directly to a TD runback, the 2nd to a 33 yd drive and TD.
All those quick turnovers lead to some fatigue and careless mistakes on defense. Can you say personal foul on Jeffcoat extending their drive to a TD after having stopped them on 3rd down? Really stupid stuff...
Just don't turn the ball over more than once or none, and we likely eliminate 31 points or more.
That would be all on the offense.
How much does Ash have to improve, along with the OL, WR, and RB's to go from 5 lost turnover to 1 or 0? He needs to go from "deer in headlights" to smart conservative game manager.
Seems like a reasonable hope given what we've been hearing. The sacks in practice that've been reported so far are the kind of thing that will keep turnovers up.
After all this reviewing, I'm now convinced the whole season rides on our OL.
And our OL rides on 2 swing positions: C and LT.
1) Can Espinosa grow strong, or does Walters/Hopkins slide in to C and Flowers into G?
2) Can Hawkins become consistent, protecting Ash from blind backside hits and pressure, or will Searles keep Paden Kelley by his side at all times?
If these two questions can be answered positively by Spring Game, everything else is going to fall into place.
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81horn said...
+1 to the OP and +1 to you, Bevo...I had not noticed the Malcom X in the avatar...Malcom X was not a good dude...in my opinion, he was the opposite of MLK, who I think was one of our greatest Americans (I know that belongs in the OT but it does say something about our boy bruthaman and the fact he should never have credibility on this board, ever, blowu troll or no, imo...). Thanks for pointing that out.
There is nothing more dangerous in this world than a man with nothing to lose.
bruthaman ●
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jjloehr said...
In '11 vs. OU, we fumbled 5 times, losing 3, of which 2 led directly to TD runbacks. I think the other led to a field goal.
We were intercepted 2 times, one again leading directly to a TD runback, the 2nd to a 33 yd drive and TD.
All those quick turnovers lead to some fatigue and careless mistakes on defense. Can you say personal foul on Jeffcoat extending their drive to a TD after having stopped them on 3rd down? Really stupid stuff...
Just don't turn the ball over more than once or none, and we likely eliminate 31 points or more.
That would be all on the offense.
How much does Ash have to improve, along with the OL, WR, and RB's to go from 5 lost turnover to 1 or 0? He needs to go from "deer in headlights" to smart conservative game manager.
Seems like a reasonable hope given what we've been hearing. The sacks in practice that've been reported so far are the kind of thing that will keep turnovers up.
After all this reviewing, I'm now convinced the whole season rides on our OL.
And our OL rides on 2 swing positions: C and LT.
1) Can Espinosa grow strong, or does Walters/Hopkins slide in to C and Flowers into G?
2) Can Hawkins become consistent, protecting Ash from blind backside hits and pressure, or will Searles keep Paden Kelley by his side at all times?
If these two questions can be answered positively by Spring Game, everything else is going to fall into place.
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Bevostevo said...
Bruthaman You have not only brought ou foootball here, you from what it appears are a man of religious relection. I found your avatar and why you wish to bring a civil rights activist and religion to a football board is somewhat puzzling. It's your right to have opinions about whatever you wish but I think this is not the right place. It would be hard for anyone here who think B. Switzer is a good guy, but like Mr. Little he was a product of his time. Switzer had a tough, tough life and learned to win; rules meant little to him, only winning. Mr. Little too had a tough upbringing and did what he thought was right. I judge not either man. This is a football site not a civics class, so don't try and spread the truth, your truth about ou football or Malcom X, it is the wrong place. And like I said earlier, Texas is spelled with a capital T. Didn't they teach ya'll how to spell at the University of Oklahoma? Salom Alikom
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Late response to Bruthaman and other OU trolls...