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What would J'coven Brown's stat line look like if he came back for his senior year. Thirty points a game? It will be very interesting to see how much Kabongo's return influences this team. What are the chances he comes back for his junior year?
May depend a lot on how well he plays to close out the year.
If he leads Texas to the tourney by playing really good, efficient ball I'd bet he goes.
If Texas continues to struggle and misses the tournament while he plays average I think there's a chance he comes back.
It is obviously a long shot, but I'll have what he's drinking. Thanks for the post, Dave.
Not sure I buy that Texas is going to be able to make its resume good enough to get in. I think it'll come down to a Big 12 tourney run - which I think is possible.
I'll have whatever either of you guys is drinking.
National Director of Scouting & Recruiting Analyst
I just don't see a team in the Big 12 that should scare Texas (with its full roster) outside of Kansas. I think if the bracket comes out favorably there's a chance they can make a run.
Hey you never answered my question from another post. I wanted to know if you thought that Randle was a MUST HAVE for Barnes?
The NCAA selection committee has screwed Texas several times in the past 2 years so winning the Big Tourney is the only sure path. However if Texas is 20 wins, 11-7 in conference and wins say 1 game in the Big 12 Tournament it would make for an interesting discussion. A win tonight would be very big......
This post was edited by austinr 15 months ago
"Leadership is wisdom, courage and great carelessness of self"
Texas has such bad losses that I feel if it's in a position where the committee is comparing resumes the Longhorns aren't going to look very enticing.
I see 5 more wins the rest of the year. So, in short, no.
Agree the loss to a division II is horrible but in the past the committee said they viewed an NCAA suspenion like an injured player. That might help Texas. That loss BTW hurts 2 ways because if the Horns win game 1 in Hawaii they have 2 strong teams on their resume for SOS.
Mike is nimble... a columnist's greatest skill. After ripping the hoops programs last week, one win has him elbowing the driver out of the way and taking over the bandwagon.
FWIW, I see the path but am skeptical of the ability to complete it. I realized last night that I let this team go, mentally, after ISU waxed them. Not enough offense to deal with a hot team, and just too young to put it together. I see the improvement, but they could use a couple of road wins not named TCU or Tech.
If they had Kevin Durant and DJ Augustin, they'd be at 14-15 wins right now. But they don't have players like that. Not sure Myck gets the deal done, but the chances are better.
“Kansas may wind up number one in these polls, but that would be so unfair to Texas...” -- Len Elmore, 2/13/11
So Mike Finger writes an article, at time with Texas 9-10 & 1-5, to state Texas won't make the NCAA?
Hey Mike...ya think??????????????????
Would it look similar? Even assuming Texas can go 3-1 over the next four games (@KSU, TCU, @WVU, OSU--2-2 seems a lot more probable), and even assuming Texas can go 6-2 after Kabongo comes back (very unlikely with games @ KU, @OSU, and home vs. OU, Baylor, ISU, KSU), the resumes are not similar.
Last year's team had an OOC win over a top 25 team, Temple, and no bad OOC losses. Its worst conference loss was by 12 @OSU. It had several close games against ranked teams (KU, MU, BUx2, ISU). At the time of tournament selection, KU was 3rd, MU was 5th, Baylor was 12th, and ISU was 25th.
This year's team has no win over a team in the top 40 (UNC just makes the top 40 in RPI, but is outside top 40 in polls and Kenpom). It has OOC losses in a wipeout by a Div. II school that isn't even included in the "others receiving votes" category and in OT to a USC team that has gone 5-12 since beating Texas. There is only one conference team currently ranked in the top 15, and KSU is the only other team in the top 25 at 18th. This year's team lost at home to WVU and lost by 20 @ ISU, a team which managed to lose to an awful Texas Tech team.
I know Finger's generous end of season scenario would put Texas at 10-8 in conference, a game better than last year, but it still isn't a similar resume in my mind. I suspect a 2-2, 5-3 finish is a lot more likely than 3-1, 6-2, and even that is somewhat optimistic.
Conference tournament championship or bust.
This post was edited by bierce 15 months ago
Well, it COULD improve dramatically over the rest of the season if we somehow won most of our games. Currently we have an RPI of 141 and are 1-7 against the RPI top 50.
We have eight games against the RPI top 50 remaining. Win most of those and don't lose to TCU, Tech, or WVU then we may have an argument - especially if we play a lot better with Kabongo back.
More than any other team we at least have an argument that the team finishing the season isn't the same one that started it due to Kabongo's suspension.
But it's HIGHLY unlikely. Right now our resume' is downright ugly.
RealTimeRPI.com: RPI, RPI Rankings, college basketball rpi, Real Time NCAA College Basketball and Sports Ratings - the most accurate independent analysis of the NCAA college basketball Rating Percentage Index (RPI)
Texas' only chance is with a conference tourney title. Not out of the question but a long shot.
There is one problem with all of this. Texas can't score at all. They can't shoot the ball, they miss layups, free throws, three point shots, 2 points shots and have no go to guy or someone that can creat his own shot. Your talking about beating a lot of people who can put the ball in the hoop at least enough to win against a team that struggles to make any kind of shot. For those of you who think they can reach the tournament watch tonight's game. Yea it could be close but they will still lose.
Totally agree, but I'm waiting to see what the addition of Kabongo does for the offense until I write them off. The team as it's constructed right now would have no shot.
I think Kabongo's ball handling and vision could open up a lot of shots for the rest of the guys on the floor. I could be wrong, but I wouldn't base Texas' chances on making a run on tonight's game or any until Kabongo gets a few games under his belt.
The stretch of vs. KSU, vs. OU, at OSU, vs. BU will be the tell. Kabongo will have had three games to shake the rust off before that stretch. Hold off judgment until then IMO.
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