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OK, I'm bored and have a headache, so why not share it?
I'm wondering what everyone has as the likely duration the following people have at their present position at UT:
a) Deloss Dodds
b) Mack Brown
c) Rick Barnes
d) Augie Garrido
e) Chris Plonsky
I'm going to predict Dodds hangs on to the end of his contract through August 31, 2015, but he winds up picking replacement coaches in all the sports. I see Garrido being gone after this season, Brown after the 2014 season, and Barnes after the 2014-15 season. Plonsky will be retained as women's AD forever, but she will not get the men's AD job.
I'll play...pure speculation on my part (of course)....
I believe Dodd's contract is through his 75th birthday, which is August 8, 2014. I'd guess that's his last day of full-time work at UT.
Rumors seem to be that 2013 (or 2014 at the latest) is it for Mack. I think some of that depends on the 2013 season and OU game. Regardless, there's a very limited shelf life.
After J.Randal chooses Kansas this afternoon, Barnes will be looking at another lousy season next year, and that'll make 2 straight bad years at age 59, with a new AD coming to Texas in 2014. Not good for Barnes....
Augie is year-to-year at this point anyway, but I think Dodds is setting a maximum standard by retiring at 75. That's another 2-3 years for Augie...max.
No clue on Plonsky, but I'd guess that if Bev Kearney's legal team starts leaking deposition info, that Plonsky is the most at risk for an embarassing, career altering revelation.
I know Dodds receives the annuity if he is still employed in some capacity after Aug. 31, 2014, but I thought his contract as AD runs through Aug. 31, 2015.
At this point I'm just assuming they are all here until they die.
With the exceptions of Garrido and Plonsky, I think the rest are gone by the end of 2014. Whether it's when his contract expires or Perry gets to Powers, Dodds seems like he's got about a calendar year left. Brown doesn't make the inaugural playoff and retires. Barnes makes the NCAA Tourney next season and fails to advance to the second weekend, walking papers follow. Garrido seems like he's got more leash than the others and I have no idea if he's ready to call it quits on his own. A new AD might quietly push for an extensive overhaul of all the men's sports and he could get swept up in that. Plonsky just makes me laugh at this point. Her hiring history should have had her fired years ago so no telling on the Keith Richards of Bellmont.
I would predict all will be gone by 2014 when Dodds moves into a consulting role. Plonsky may be sooner with the Bev thing. One thing is we are very old in the athletic department.
2014-2015 seems to be the end life for all of them.
The good news is a completely new and fresh athletic department by 2016 at the latest. The bad news is that's still years away.
This post was edited by GPie 13 months ago
I think Dodds will step down when Mack is ready to take over as AD. Mack will pick any replacements that happen after that point, including his own. I'm cool with Barnes and Augie until they can't win with veteran players.
This post was edited by TeeDoe 13 months ago
1. I don't want to live in your universe.
2. Mack will never be Texas AD, nor even be a serious candidate.
In this life expectancy scenario, can I be Jack Kevorkian?
This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by mcb0703 13 months ago
Lol. Not sure it's the best move either, but just hide and watch. Royal moved into the AD position when he stepped down.
I hope that Mack hangs around the program as a goodwill ambassador once he retires but no way would I want him as the AD. I doubt that Mack would want to be AD anyway.
This post was edited by bierce 13 months ago
Its a different age in AD now. No longer a haven for the retired coaches. Texas AD will be a business guy first. In fact, ideally the job would be split into two departments - business and sports administration.
You may be right. But if I had to lay a big bet on it, I would stick with my prediction. To the disappointment of many, there's no historical reference that would indicate a complete turnover in the athletic department at UT. Time will tell.
"If I were the man I was five years ago, I'd take a flamethrower to this place!"
Mack: after this season, whether good or bad.
Barnes: after next season if we struggle, which we will.
Augie: two more seasons, out on his own accord.
Plonsky: this year as the Kearney situation gets worse.
Deloss: I would say in 2015, but kinda tied to Mack here. If Mack is gone after next year, I see him making next hire and sticking it out for a year or two.
Talk about the good life. Plonsky is a liability to football as some coaches of other teams mention her as taking over from DeLoss as a factor in going elsewhere.
275-0 scoring margin
Dana X Bible's National Championship team
I pray that you are right on Chris.
I think fans have a hard time seeing anything good about the coaches they have, and a harder time seeing any flaws in the ones they don't have.
I think Dodds, Brown, Plonsky and Barnes all leave around the same time; just after Dodds' annuity kicks in.
I think the flaws in the other coaches are why some of the Texas coaches remain. If Urban Meyer would have been available this offseason then I am not so sure that Mack wouldn't have been asked to retire. I think this season will tell us whether Mack can compete for championships anymore. Big 12 is down, most returning starters, most experienced QB, returning all 5 OL. Usually that is a recipe to at least win the Big 12.
Are they hiring where you work?
Dodds - retires next year (2014).
Brown - I think he hangs on longer than people suspect. I'd say 2016-2017. We would need another 5-7 season for him to be fired and I don't see him stepping down after an 8-9 win season.
Barnes - next year. Not working out for either party.
Garrido - no idea about this because I don't follow baseball, but damn he looks old.
Plonsky - she's not leaving anytime soon.
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