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Staff Predictions: Texas-Oklahoma

Texas and Oklahoma match up pretty evenly entering the latest edition of the Red River Rivalry.

Mack Brown

Mack Brown will look to bump his record up to 7-8 against Oklahoma Saturday in the Cotton Bowl.

This game usually gives the winner pole position for the Big 12 championship, but this year it's just about staying alive in the conference race.

No. 15 Texas' last two games have been decided by a total of eight points, and everyone, including the Hookem.com staff, is expecting another nail-biter for the Longhorns against the 13th-ranked Sooners.

BOBBY BURTON
I don't like this match-up for the Horns. The OU defense is certainly better than WVU's so I think the Texas offense will likely score somewhere in the 20s. The OU offense is still serviceable, even though they lost their top playmaker from a year ago in Ryan Broyles, and the Texas defense hasn't really come close to derailing a decent offense all season. So I expect OU to score at least in the 20s as well. Does Texas have the athletes to beat Oklahoma? Yes. Will the Horns beat Oklahoma? I think the momentum of the season favors the Sooners. Bottom line: Texas had every chance to beat West Virginia and couldn't make it happen. What makes you or I think the Horns will do any better against the Sooners? A loss would be nine straight to ranked opponents.
Oklahoma 24, Texas 21

JEFF HOWE
I've gone back and forth time and again, and truth be told, I still have no idea which team I favor. I saw Oklahoma's loss to Kansas State, and I was in the house for the Longhorns' lone loss of the season. Both teams have their strengths, both have their flaws, but in this game none of that typically matters. This game usually comes down to which team controls the line of scrimmage, and which team takes better care of the football. At this point, one of the things I believe is a solid truth about this team is David Ash has proven he can manage situations and take care of the football, arguably better than Landry Jones when both have been under pressure. For that, and that the one matchup that actually sticks out to me is the the Texas defensive ends against the Oklahoma offensive tackles, I'll go with the Longhorns to show some resiliency and get a much-needed win.
Texas 31, Oklahoma 27

DAVE BEHR
You can point to a lot of factors in this game as potential keys. To me though, it's which quarterback can avoid the turnover and make the big throw when needed. Both David Ash and Landry Jones will be facing the best secondaries and defensive lines they've seen so far this year. Texas will need to pressure Jones and force him out of the pocket in hopes of getting the senior to make a mistake. I think both teams will have relative success running the ball, so, in my opinion, this one comes down to which team can protect its quarterback, and which quarterback can make the throws. David Ash has improved greatly since the last time he faced the Sooners, but Landry Jones has the experience of playing in the past three Red River Rivalries, including two OU wins.
Oklahoma 27, Texas 24

GERRY HAMILTON
Like the saying goes: Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me. That's how I look at the Texas defense at this point, with the understanding that Oklahoma State and West Virginia has very good offenses and offensive coaching staffs. And now Texas faces another team that can score the ball, and take advantage of Texas' weaknesses in the run game, and passing game with confidence shaken. If the Oklahoma offensive line can somewhat control the line of scrimmage, the Sooners will score plenty, and put a lot of pressure on the Texas offense against the best defense it's faced this season. For Texas, if the Longhorns can't pressure from inside out, then Landry Jones will not be pressed into his weakness (lateral movement and throwing on the move) and he will be able to step into throws and play to his strength. For Texas, David Ash has to keep playing at the level he has in the last two games, and simply can't be late on throws down the field against a secondary that has a better chance to makes plays on late vertical throws. 
Oklahoma 34, Texas 24

BLAKE MUNROE
Another chapter of the greatest rivalries in sports gets written tomorrow and I still don’t really know what to think about either team playing in it.  If Texas’ defense was even half efficient as the offense, I’d pick the Longhorns in a landslide.  If Landry Jones didn’t fold like a cheap tent when he’s under pressure, I’d pick the Sooners. I think the big questions here are, can Texas’ secondary redeem itself, and can the linebackers play disciplined? I’m going to give them the benefit of the doubt, just one last time. Anything can happen in rivalry games, so I’ll go out on a limb and say that Texas' defense will put forth a better effort than the past three games. Offensively, I’m not worried, even with running back Malcolm Brown possibly out.  This game might actually be Johnathan Gray’s coming out party, which will be fun to watch.  I’m going to say Texas wins this one due to their balanced attack that will keep the Sooners’ D on their toes.
Texas 38, Oklahoma 37

    • Hookem Staff said...

      http://texas.247sports.com/Article/Staff-Predictions-Texas-Oklahoma-95551

      Texas' last two games have been decided by eight points total, and everyone, including the Hookem staff, is expecting another nail-biter for the Longhorns against the Sooners.

      Can we start putting the staff's record next to their prediction?

      Scharnell

    • Scharnell said...

      Can we start putting the staff's record next to their prediction?

      Good idea. On it.

      (Mine ain't good)

      Dave Behr

    • The staff's thoughts on this are pretty much in line with mine (not necessarily the score predictions, because I honestly have no clue what to think). Each team has its warts, but one of them has to win the pageant.

      ChampKind

    • Gerry, I wanted to keep my screen name a secret, but this is your wife and I am divorcing you for your prediction. My twin sister is divorcing Bobby. My mother is divorcing Dave, and my aunt is leaving Jeff.

      This post was edited by UT27am25 on 10/12/2012 at 12:42 PM

      UT27am25

    • Bobby, Dave and Gerry will NOT be getting Christmas cards from me this year. Just wanted to put that out there.

      UTK66

    • Dave Behr said...

      Good idea. On it.

      (Mine ain't good)

      Let's hope it stays that way after this weekend. biggrin

      UTK66

    • This post is for members of Horns247 or All Access VIP members only. Start Free Trial

      Gerry Hamilton

    • Everybody is 4-1 except for Bobby who's 3-2 (picked OK State)

      As far as scores go, here's the average difference in winning margin predictions:

      Bobby: 12.6
      Jeff: 9.8
      Dave: 8.8
      Gerry: 11
      Blake: 11

      (thought mine would be a lot worse)

      Dave Behr

    • ChampKind said...

      The staff's thoughts on this are pretty much in line with mine (not necessarily the score predictions, because I honestly have no clue what to think). Each team has its warts, but one of them has to win the pageant.

      Total agreement. This game has always had a way of going with momentum, so I think if one team gets ahead, that may be it. As always, the following will be of utmost importance:
      1. kickoff and punt coverage
      2. turnovers
      3. mental blunders
      4.preparation
      5. blocking and tackling
      Game analysis:
      1. OU defense will stack 7-8-9 in the box like all the other teams did--
      will we counter or just play jumbo ball @ 2.5 ypc
      2. OU does not have the super-skill players that are used to having, but will our defense play like the 3 stooges once again
      3. Do the officials allow OU to hold in the line on every play, like WVU was allowed to do
      4. Did Manny have another dream featuring a defense from Mars that only he can understand
      5. Does Harsin have another A grade in the game until the 4th qtr
      6. Is Anthony Fera still trying to play hurt--will J Hicks and/or MB try to "gut it out" and play hurt
      Score prediction:
      If the answers to the above questions is yes:
      ou 63 UT 14
      If the answers are no:
      UT 38 OU 27

      docfarmerdds

    • Dave Behr said...

      Everybody is 4-1 except for Bobby who's 3-2 (picked OK State)

      As far as scores go, here's the average difference in winning margin predictions:

      Bobby: 12.6 Jeff: 9.8 Dave: 8.8 Gerry: 11 Blake: 11

      (thought mine would be a lot worse)

      I'll add that the Ole Miss game changed a lot of it.

      If you take that game out, our score differential looks like this:

      Bobby: 10
      Jeff: 7
      Dave: 7.5
      Gerry: 8.5
      Blake: 10.5
      JW: 18.5

      Dave Behr

    • UT27a&m25 said...

      Gerry, I wanted to keep my screen name a secret, but this is your wife and I am divorcing you for your prediction. My twin sister is divorcing Bobby. My mother is divorcing Dave, and my aunt is leaving Jeff.

      Seems like your aunt needs a double take on Jeff's prediction.

      RoyalwithCheese

    • RoyalwithCheese said...

      Seems like your aunt needs a double take on Jeff's prediction.

      She must be a sooner fan. Jeff, you'll be better off without her.

      UT27am25

    • I knew that I like Jeff and Blake better for a reason...

      jwt4925

    • This post is for members of Horns247 or All Access VIP members only. Start Free Trial

      jg6544

    • Right now, you can't argue with any of the predictions whether they have Texas winning or losing. Well, at least I have the Texans to look forward to.

      horn4jc

    • OU's green offensive line (depleted) will get dominated by Jeffcoat and Okafor. We're not Tech, we've actually played a tough opponent and could've won it.
      Texas wins. Enuff said.

      This post was edited by theknighttrain on 10/12/2012 at 2:48 PM

      theknighttrain

    • At what point do the consecutive losses to ranked teams start to result in calls for Mack's head? It is shocking how wrong all the prognosticators were about the "D". Of course, we can only guess w/o media access to practices. If Mack offers Diaz up at the end of the year, does that suffice - again? I really like Mack. He is a very politically correct CEO running a football team and has grown the revenue, fan base and a NC. However, the conference championships are abysmal. If this season goes south - (anything more than 2 losses qualifies IMHO), then I'm ready for a junk-yard dog as opposed to a PC CEO. Just sayin....

      davrob1

    • davrob1 said...

      At what point do the consecutive losses to ranked teams start to result in calls for Mack's head? It is shocking how wrong all the prognosticators were about the "D". Of course, we can only guess w/o media access to practices. If Mack offers Diaz up at the end of the year, does that suffice - again? I really like Mack. He is a very politically correct CEO running a football team and has grown the revenue, fan base and a NC. However, the conference championships are abysmal. If this season goes south - (anything more than 2 losses qualifies IMHO), then I'm ready for a junk-yard dog as opposed to a PC CEO. Just sayin....

      For starters, we seem to have tenure in coaching jobs at UT. Mack is a nice guy, runs a clean program, and has one of the top 5 jobs in the coaching world. He is never mentioned by anyone, save Obama, as being one of the great college football coaches. He does less with more.
      Make him the AD, and send Barnes, Garrido and Dodds to Switzerland to live with their money. See that they get caps and tee shirts on the way to the airport.

      This post was edited by bcrow1954 on 10/12/2012 at 4:28 PM

      bcrow1954

    • Bottom line: Texas had every chance to beat West Virginia and couldn't make it happen

      Unfortunately, I agree with Bobby. How can you not score from the 12 yard line in the WVU game? No way the Longhorns should have lost that game. I think Oklahoma is better than the WVU. We lose by two touchdowns. To Mack's great leadership, "at least it's better than we could expect ast year". How could anyone give his all for a coach like that? I really, really hope I'm wrong.

      Texas

    • Gerry Hamilton said...

      The place where I'm coming from right now is...prove it defensively.

      That is my idea for this team as well. Not just this game but the rest of the season.

      Coming into this year, my overriding thought was prove it OFFENSIVELY.

      GetHooked

    • Lost in everything spoken last week and so far today is how much our special team kickoff coverage hurt us. That's one of the variables tomorrow that just can't be predicted and hopefully Texas does a ton better and we also break one if not two big one's ourselves. That will be the difference in Texas winning 30-24

      Lifetime Horn

    • To me this game is simple:

      If we stop the run we win. If we don't we lose.

      Maybe a little too simplistic but if we stop the run we can get after Jones and force some turnovers. I like our matchup against OU's D.

      LegendaryHorn

    • Defense couldn't stop Lake Travis High School.

      Texas

    • Legendary is right. If we stop, or at least keep the run under control, we win. I think we finally do that. We get a score from a takeaway and/or the special teams and win the game 38-28. And yes, the glasses I wear are thickly tinted burnt orange.

      revbill46

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